Central Bank of Sri Lanka’s weekly economic indicators for the week ending April 2, 2026, present a mixed macroeconomic outlook, marked by a slight rise in inflation, continued expansion in private sector credit, and ongoing external sector pressures.
According to the “Highlights of the Week” report, headline inflation—as measured by the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI)—accelerated to 2.2% in March 2026, up from 1.6% in February. Food inflation remained relatively subdued at 0.7%, while non-food inflation rose to 2.9%. Core inflation also increased to 2.5%, indicating underlying price pressures within the economy.
In the real sector, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for construction recorded a month-on-month expansion in February, suggesting gradual recovery in activity. However, global oil price volatility—driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—continued to influence domestic economic sentiment, with prices fluctuating before ending the week higher overall.
Monetary conditions showed signs of tightening. The Weekly Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) rose by 58 basis points to 9.86%, while the Average Weighted Call Money Rate edged up to 7.63%. Broad money supply expanded by 11.9% year-on-year in February, supported by strong private sector credit growth, which increased by Rs. 144.4 billion, reflecting a 26.4% annual rise.
Credit to public corporations also increased, while net credit to the government declined during the period. Market liquidity remained in surplus but narrowed compared to the previous week. In the fiscal sector, Treasury bill and bond yields stayed largely stable, although foreign investor holdings in government securities fell by 3.35%, and secondary market activity contracted due to a shorter trading week.
The external sector continued to face pressure, with the Sri Lankan rupee depreciating by 1.7% against the US dollar so far this year. The trade deficit widened to USD 1.43 billion in the first two months of 2026, as imports grew faster than export earnings. Gross official reserves were estimated at USD 7.27 billion by end-February.
Overall, the data points to a cautiously recovering economy, supported by improving domestic activity but constrained by inflationary pressures and persistent external imbalances.